Sheilagh
Ogilivie on the Champagne fairs.
This is a blog about economics, history, law and other things that interest me.
Monday, December 28, 2015
Monday, December 21, 2015
Since My Last Post
The end of
the semester has kept me away from this blog for a while. Once grading was
done, Mary and I went up to Mercatus to see Eric Chaney present his
research on “Religion and the rise and Fall of Islamic Science” at the Washington Area Economic
History Seminar. Here
is the version of the paper available on his page at Harvard.
We also went
up to Philadelphia for a couple of days. We had dinner at our favorite
restaurant, Pumpkin, and at Fork, which was also very good. While I’m
at it, we usually stay at the Palomar and have breakfast
at Schlesinger’s
Also went to
the Art Museum this
is my favorite thing there.
In the world
of economic history
There is a
new Chinese Economic History
blog. Among other things, it has a number of interesting interviews.
In addition
to the usual collection of interesting papers Journal of
Economic History has four essays on the future of economic history.
Bakker, Crafts
and Woltjer put out a new
working paper “A vision of the
Growth Process in a Technologically Progressive Economy: the United States,
1899-1941.”
“Abstract
We develop new aggregate and sectoral Total Factor Productivity
(T FP ) estimates for the United States between 1899 and1941 through better coverage
of sectors and better measured labor quality, and show TFP –growth was lower than
previously thought, broadly based a cross sectors, strongly variant intertemporally,
and consistent with many diverse sources of innovation. We then test and reject
three prominent claims. First, the 1930s did not have the highest TFP –growth of
the twentieth century. Second, TFP –growth was not predominantly caused by four
leading sectors. Third, TFP –growth was not caused by a ‘yeast process’
originating in a dominant technology such as electricity.”
Tuesday, December 1, 2015
Historians on Edward Baptist
Al Zambone
and Bob Elder discuss the book on the podcast Historically Thinking.
Trevor Burnard discusses
Baptist’s responses to his critics. Burnard
writes that “repeatedly, Baptist puts himself up as the authority on slave
testimony; places himself as the judge of what is contained in slave testimony,
and suggests that all of his critics are deficient because they don’t take
slave testimony as seriously as he does.”
I tried to
explain Baptist’s position to someone by pointing out that he seems to believe he speaks for the enslaved the way the Lorax speaks for the trees. The only difference is that the trees did not speak, the enslaved did.
Monday, November 30, 2015
More on Doug North
I don’t think anyone has yet mentioned Doug’s influence on
the teaching of economics. The
Economics of Public Issues (19th edition) is still in print,
though the first edition is still, in my opinion, the best. Like all successful
entrepreneurs North and Miller attracted competitors and influenced the way
material is presented in standard textbooks. Doug told me it sold enough to put
three sons through Stanford. The book came about as a result of his returning
to teaching principles of economics after several years of not having done so. He
finished his lecture on perfect competition with some reference to agricultural
markets and asked if there were any questions. A student stood up in the back
of the lecture hall. Doug asked him what his question was and the student said “That’s
bullshit.” Doug said if you’re so smart why don’t you tell us all about it. Turned
out the guy grew up on a farm in Eastern Washington and knew all about how the government
interfered with agricultural markets. Doug said he knew that he couldn’t keep
giving textbook lectures, but he didn’t know what he should do. He had been
working with the Seattle City Council and began his next class with a statement
about how many rapes and murders the council had voted to allow, illustrating
the consequences of choices about how to allocate spending in the city. Doug
ended up writing stories about the economics of crime, abortion, baseball,
marijuana etc. He said it was Roger Le Roy Miller’s idea to turn these stories
into a book. It sold so well as a textbook that they tried to sell a trade
version called Abortion,
Baseball and Weed. It bombed; people weren’t ready for freakonomics yet.
I also wanted to note that a couple of couple of places (e.g. NY Times) have
mentioned that Doug’s father dropped out of school to become an office
messenger. What they did not mention was that his father went on to become
vice-president of Metropolitan Life Insurance Company. Doug’s uncle, his father’s
younger brother, eventually became the president of Metropolitan Life Insurance
Company. I had the impression that he was quite proud of his father. He said that
his father was always the one to give the speech when they wanted to get the
agents fired up. Doug’s dissertation was a pretty traditional economic history of
the life insurance business, with a focus on the Armstrong Investigation. I seem
to recall that he said his family was not particularly pleased with his
essentially airing the family’s dirty laundry.
Here are some tributes to Doug by people who knew him well
Yoram
Barzel remembers Doug at University of Washington
John
Nye has both a personal reflection and a review of Doug’s contribution to
economics.
John
Wallis provides a really good review of Doug’s contributions to social
sciences.
Barry
Weingast’s tribute to Doug is my favorite so far. As soon as I saw the
quote beginning with “Listen, Bub” I could heard Doug’s voice.
Wednesday, November 25, 2015
Just Listen
In response to this Huffington Post article Jaci Evan's (a former student of mine who is about to finish her Ph. D. at U. of Maryland) wrote this on Facebook. Please listen to her.
"There are so many things I could write here that it's hard to choose. But I think I'll say this: I still remember the first time an adult man made me feel sexualized and unsafe. I was 12. That memory has stuck with me to this day, and it was the first of a countless number of times that it has happened since. So when your girlfriend says that your neighbor's behavior makes her feel unsafe, don't say you think it sounds normal, just listen. When she says she doesn't think she'd enjoy travelling to that country known for men who grope women on the subway or cat-call on the streets, don't tell her she's being too sensitive about it, just listen. When she gets upset about those "good old boy" songs involving rape that so many frats get in trouble for these days, don't tell her that they don't really mean it, just listen. Your reality isn't hers, and her thoughts are valid. They come from horrific experiences in her past and in her knowledge of horrific experiences in her friends' pasts. Just listen."
"There are so many things I could write here that it's hard to choose. But I think I'll say this: I still remember the first time an adult man made me feel sexualized and unsafe. I was 12. That memory has stuck with me to this day, and it was the first of a countless number of times that it has happened since. So when your girlfriend says that your neighbor's behavior makes her feel unsafe, don't say you think it sounds normal, just listen. When she says she doesn't think she'd enjoy travelling to that country known for men who grope women on the subway or cat-call on the streets, don't tell her she's being too sensitive about it, just listen. When she gets upset about those "good old boy" songs involving rape that so many frats get in trouble for these days, don't tell her that they don't really mean it, just listen. Your reality isn't hers, and her thoughts are valid. They come from horrific experiences in her past and in her knowledge of horrific experiences in her friends' pasts. Just listen."
Tuesday, November 24, 2015
Doug North
My friend Tawni Hunt Ferrarini told
me this morning that Doug North passed away last night. Douglass C. North was,
of course, a Nobel Memorial Prize winner in Economics. I first, discovered his
work while I was a graduate student in economic history at the London School of
Economics in 1984-85. I read “A Framework for Analyzing the State in Economic
History” published in a special issue of Explorations in Economic History
dedicated to his dissertation adviser M.M. Knight. I still love the way he used
such a simple model to think about such a complicated problem. When I decided to
go back to graduate school to pursue a Ph.D. in economics, I wanted to study
with him. I became his research assistant and he was the chair of my
dissertation committee. He was everything I had hoped for as a professor and
more than I could have imagined as a human being. I felt like I had won the
lottery. I still feel that way.
I wanted to write about what he meant
to me, both intellectually and as a friend, but I can’t. Maybe another day I
will, but not today.
Thursday, November 19, 2015
Coase on Lighthouses and Economics
Earlier this week Daniel Shestakov noted the publication of
a new paper
on lighthouses by Erik Lindberg. He and I then had a brief exchange on
twitter about whether or not the work since Coase’s
(1974) paper had supported or contradicted his contentions. It got me
thinking that maybe I had missed something in the more recent work. I went back
and looked at some of the papers. I’m still not entirely certain what Shestakov’s
position is, but it seemed to me that he was claiming that recent work had
supported the theorists rather than Coase. I still don’t see it that way. Theory suggests that if a good is non-rival
and non-excludable that there will be a free rider problem and that the outcome
will be inefficient in the sense that it will not maximize the sum of consumer
and producer surplus. Coase did not set
out to refute the theory. He simply argued that it did not necessarily apply in
the case of a commonly used example: the lighthouse. The extent to which a good
is non -rival and non-excludable is an empirical question. Coase argued that in
some cases lighthouses were not in fact non-excludable. In some cases it is not
prohibitively costly to charge the users for the service. It seems to me that
recent work has not refuted this claim.
My interpretation of Coase’s paper is that it was really
much more about economic methods than it was about lighthouses or public goods.
The paper was about the way that economists like Samuelson didn’t bother to
study the history of lighthouses before using them as an example of a public
good. The primary claim of the paper was that the theory of public goods did
not necessarily apply to lighthouses because in some cases it was possible to
make the people who used the lighthouse pay for the service provided.
Specifically, it was possible to identify which lighthouses a ship had
benefited from and charge them accordingly at the time they docked. Coase
described the finance and operation of private lighthouses as follows:
It was, for instance, much like a private toll bridge.
Coase may actually overstate the extent to which the government set price
distinguished the case of lighthouses from most goods. He was clearly aware of
the extensive role of government in the provision of lighthouses, and he made
no effort to hide this from his readers. Coase, however, characterized the
government’s involvement as being not substantially different than the
provision of other goods by private companies:
Responses to Coase’s paper seem to fall into two categories.
1.
Government was extensively involved in the so
called private lighthouses. Therefore, the lighthouses were not as private as
Coase suggested. It has even suggested that it is ironic that Coase chided
other economists for not getting their facts straight and then failed to do so
himself.
2.
Coase’s speculation about the relative
efficiency of private provision is unsupported by the evidence.
Van
Zandt (1993) falls into the first category. Van Zandt, however, does not
seem to disagree with Coase’s description of the finance and operation of
lighthouses. Instead, he disagrees with the interpretation. His primary argument
is that the “public” versus “private” dichotomy is not very useful. Coase seems
to have agreed with Van Zandt in so far as Van Zandt notes that Coase suggested
that there may be an even wider variety of institutional arrangements than he
considers.
Bertrand (2006)
agrees with Van Zandt that there was extensive involvement of the government in
the so-called private lighthouses. She claims at one point that “We have thus
shown that Coase, in his account of the English lighthouse system,
underestimates the importance of government, and conversely overestimates the
appropriateness of individual initiative (Bertrand 400).” But like Van Zandt
she has not actually shown that the lighthouses were financed and operated differently
than Coase described. People obtained charters from the government, which set
the fees and was sometimes directly involved in the collection of these fees. But
Coase said all of that. He never suggested that the government was not at
involved. He never even suggested that it was not extensively involved.
Bertrand also argues that Coase overestimated the efficiency
of the private lighthouses. The problem here is that Coase’s argument wasn’t about
the relative efficiency of the private versus public provision. He did little
more than speculate about them in the conclusion of the paper, and suggest that
more research needed to be done.
Finally, Lindberg (2015) adds a comparative perspective as
well as details about the amount of fees collected. Perhaps, most importantly,
I think he moves in the direction originally suggested by Coase. He analyzes
the actual lighthouse systems that existed in different places and times to try
to understand what might explain the differences in institutional arrangements.
Monday, November 9, 2015
More on economic history
I forgot to add this to the post about new papers on economic history
Ran Abramitzky Economics and the Modern Economic Historian (ungated version here)
Ran Abramitzky Economics and the Modern Economic Historian (ungated version here)
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