I was listening to Here
and Now yesterday and there was a discussion with Dan Gilbert and Richard
Thaler about Thaler’s new book. In the discussion Thaler brought up the story
of how he had told an audience of psychologists at Cornell about something like
the life cycle theory of saving and how they had all laughed “hysterically.”
He seemed to think it was another great example of how everyone else can see how
getting a Ph.D. in economics subtracts “common sense” from economists. He
probably hadn’t told them about the numerous empirical studies that found some degree of consumption smoothing. But haven’t they
at least heard about the debt their students are taking on in the expectation
that their future earnings will be higher. Haven’t they met anyone saving for
the retirement they are looking forward to? Do they all really live as if there is
no tomorrow? Really? Surely he can come up with a better example of the problem
with economics than a theory that fits with common sense, casual empiricism and
careful statistical analysis.
Thaler also said that the first
sentence in every economics textbook is something like “People maximize
utility.” Name one. It’s not in the versions of Mankiw, or Krugman and Wells, or
Frank and Benanke, or Cowen and Tabarrok. I'm sorry. I really shouldn't keep letting the evidence get in the way of a clever story.
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