Robin Hanson and Bryan Caplan
were having an argument about something called “Em.” I have no idea what Em is
so I am not writing about that. But the argument had something to do with
slavery, and it prompted Hanson to do a quick review of the literature and write
up a summary on his blog overcoming bias. I’m afraid that Hanson’s quick
review of the literature was a bit too quick. Some of the statements are simply
wrong and others can reasonably be contested. I posted these responses on his blog, but it did not seem to keep the links. Consequently, I'm posting it here as well.
He states that
Historically, even when slaves were common,
they were usually a minority of the population. (Beware, the term “slave” is
used in different ways.) About 10% in the Roman Empire and US south.
This statement is simply
incorrect. Slaves accounted for substantially more than 10 percent of the
population of the South. Slaves were as much as 57 percent of the population
(South Caroline) and at least 25 percent (Tennessee). See, for instance, Jenny Wahl.
Or you can check at the Historical
Census Browser at UVA
He states that
(The sex story is overrated, as only 1-2% of
slave babies were fathered by white men.)
The first thing to note is
that, unlike population, the number of children born to slave mothers and white
fathers is difficult to estimate. Some estimates put it as low as 1-2 percent,
but Stephen Crawford found that in ex-slave interviews, by the WPA and Fisk University,
as many 10 percent of slaves reported that their father was white. The 10
percent figure was when the interviews were done by African –American interviewers.
In other words we don’t know. It may be possible use genetic studies to produce
a more accurate estimate, but I don’t know of such a study. There is also the
question of “How large is large?” Stating that “the sex story is overrated”
suggests that 1-2 percent is somehow not important. Given that the vast
majority of enslaved people in the South lived on plantations of 15 or more
people, even 1 or 2 percent could be consistent with a relatively large percentage
of slave owners fathering an enslaved child (or a smaller percentage fathering
numerous children). It is not obvious to me that 1 or 2 percent is small in
this case.
He states that
Sometimes people sold themselves into slavery
for a limited time, as with indentured servitude.
This is just kind of odd.
It may be that he is using a definition of slavery that makes this make sense,
but I don’t know of any historian who regards slavery and indentured servitude
as equivalent.
Finally, he states that
Slaves weren’t
converted into debt perhaps because of credit market failures, or more
plausible because the full control approach was especially productive on
plantations.
I’m not entirely clear
about what this means, but it does not sound consistent with current
understanding of slavery in the United States. Historians have devoted
considerable attention to the well developed credit markets that facilitated
slave purchases. See for instance, recent work by Bonnie
Martin, John
Clegg, Calvin
Schemerhorn, Kathryn
Boodry, and Gonzalez,
Marshall, and Naidu.
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